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Bond, Patrick (2015) Africa and Global Climate Governance:
Assessing the performance of the Kyoto framework and looking ahead to the Paris framework. Presented to Africa Climate Talks (ACT!) African Union and United Nations Economic Commission for Africa Dar es Salaam, 4 September, 2015 : 1-16.

About four years ago, at the time of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conference of the Parties 17 in Durban, a book I published – Politics of Climate Justice (Bond 2012) – made an arrogant claim: that climate activists’ movement below can transcend the world elites’ (including UN negotiators’) paralysis above. The only way to confirm the validity of this claim is when enough activists – and the societies that generate them – care about climate change to force UN negotiators to make the emissions cuts required to halt warming at 2 degrees (preferably 1.5). Part of that battle has been won: over the hearts and minds of the populations. The July 2015 Pew Research Center survey of world awareness confirms that in a list also containing global economic instability and several contingent geopolitical factors, a near majority of the world public is ‘very concerned’ about climate change. It is the leading global-scale worry in 2015, but opinion is unevenly distributed: the advanced capitalist societies most responsible for climate change are those who are least willing to acknowledge it as the main threat. They are the societies with the greatest capacity to pay a ‘climate debt’ for the ‘loss and damage’ associated with
climate change. But their UN negotiators and politicians, mainly influenced by large corporations, are the most reluctant to discuss the North’s associated liabilities. Against this paralysis above, is there opportunity for movement below?

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